Skip To Content

Search Results for "predictions"

January 5

2024 Predictions

Each year, we review/make predictions re the past/coming year. Most years, we hit more than we miss. But we do miss — if we made 10 predictions that all came true, that wouldn’t be predicting but stating the obvious. The caliber of a prediction is…

Read More
December 30

2023 Predictions

Every year we make predictions. The purpose is to inspire a conversation. We also try to hold ourselves accountable. Here are some of our predictions for 2023. 2023: Patagonia Vest Recession The business story of 2022 was inflation. In 2023 it will be recession, and…

Read More
December 16

2022 Predictions Review

Every year we make predictions for the coming year. We try to get them right, but the real objective is to catalyze a conversation. As I am not the Dark Prince or an alien (either would be fun to roll with in Vegas) I get…

Read More
December 31

2022 Predictions

“Plans are worthless, but planning is everything.” — Dwight D. Eisenhower Making predictions is a shitty business. The events leading up to the realization of any prediction make it seem less extraordinary. And when you get it wrong, you’re an insufferable numbskull. The value of…

Read More
December 29

2021 Predictions & Person of the Year

8-min read There Is No Fate “Plans are worthless, but planning is everything.” President Eisenhower tweeted that in 1957 (it was a speech, Ed.). The value of a prediction is not accuracy (though it is better to be right than wrong), but the reasoning and…

Read More
January 24

2020 Predictions 🔮

7-min read So, why make predictions? Eisenhower said, “Plans are worthless, but planning is indispensable.” The same is true for predictions — they matter for the strategy and data behind them. Predictions are useless, but scenario planning is invaluable.  Review of 2019 Predictions Snapchat is…

Read More
NMNM January 11

2019 Predictions

I love predictions. Nothing is more certain than the past, nor more uncertain than the future. Similar to a jet launching off an aircraft carrier, predictions ask us to mentally chart a path on the hard surface of the past. We leave the safety of…

Read More
December 22

Predictions for 2018

2018 Time Person of the Year: Robert Mueller. Chief Justice Roberts swears in Mike Pence as the 46th US President. It's not that the administration colluded with Russia that forces Trump to vacate his shoulder‑season home — several past administrations have cut deals with adversaries…

Read More
December 8

Revisiting 2017 Predictions

The day I wrote these, President-Elect Trump nominated Omarosa Manigault, former contestant on The Apprentice, as an assistant to the president and director of communications for the Office of Public Liaison. Kinda says it all. Anyways, let's reflect on my (in-)ability to predict the future.…

Read More

Need more No Mercy / No Malice in your life?

Every Monday, get our insights on Markets. On Wednesdays, we'll answer your questions in Office Hours. And Thursdays we'll share a Conversation - this week, Matthew Hussey, a leading dating expert and author of the bestselling book, “Love Life: How to Raise Your Standards, Find Your Person, and Live Happily (No Matter What),” joins Scott to discuss how to recognize and break unhealthy dating patterns, set better intentions, and seek happiness.