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HQ 451

Scott Galloway@profgalloway

Published on February 17, 2019

In Ray Bradbury’s classic Fahrenheit 451, the protagonist, Montag, rebels against a dystopian society where books are burned. On Thursday, with Long Island City’s refusal to kiss a billionaire’s hand, State Senator Michael Gianaris became my Montag. While AOC and Elizabeth Warren jonesed for the mic, it was Mr. Gianaris who is the real Montag. I registered joy (yes, joy) at the greatest city in the world telling Jeff Bezos to return his hand back into the deepest pocket in the world, his own.

However, my joy was put on pause as a ton of people I respect, ranging from Andrew Ross Sorkin (#dreamy) and Henry Blodget (#smart) to Stephanie Ruhle (#awesome), immediately took to the airwaves to lament the decision as, at best, irrational and, at worst, evidence of NYC creeping toward socialism. I’m sticking with this being a sign that immunities are beginning to kick in against the dystopia of a billionaire with his hand out under cloud cover of commentators calling him a hero. I also reject the notion that to refuse subsidies for the most valuable firm in the world is socialism.

CNBC kicked off coverage with the hosts in violent agreement that this was a travesty for NYC: “What message does this send to businesses and CEOs who want to bring jobs to NYC?”

I don’t know, CNBC, maybe NYC is saying to businesses that if they want to HQ in the greatest density of opportunity and talent ever assembled, they need to pay their damn taxes, like the rest of us.

It’s not surprising CNBC has decided, as an organization, to rail against this crime against humanity. The average age of a CNBC viewer is 67, and most pieces of content on CNBC end in a buy/sell recommendation on a stock. So, their core constituency is a retired guy who owns Amazon stock and (85%+ chance) doesn’t live in NYC. Their viewer is rooting for the transfer of wealth from Queens to Amazon shareholders. CNBC positions it as a $3B investment to get $27B in tax revenues over the long term. If this sounds like suspicious/fuzzy math, trust your instincts.

Btw, the best thread on this circus was from @ritholtz here.

What Is Socialism?

Capitalism is a system where the means of production are owned by private individuals with the government enforcing laws and regulations to ensure a level playing field. On the other hand, in socialism the means of production and the distribution of the spoils are owned and controlled by the state. CNBC and others horrified by the hard pass on the subsidization of the wealthiest man in the world wrap themselves in the flag of capitalism to disguise a hybrid between the two. When Governor Cuomo redistributes, with little oversight, income from every other business to Amazon, the government is picking winners and losers and inching toward the economic system they claim to be fearless warriors against — socialism.

Are We the Idiots?

At what point does Google, who is investing $1B in Hudson Square and doubling the number of jobs in NYC to 14,000, put their hand out? If being a responsible corporate citizen means paying taxes twice (not getting subsidies), then at some point the Google board, as fiduciaries for shareholders, asks management, “Are we the idiots?” Btw, Apple and Facebook have kept their hands in their pockets, as have Adobe, HP, Broadcom, and Roku in San Jose. None of them have asked for subsidies.

In 2010 I founded L2. I paid $15,000/month for a 3,000-sq-ft office with mice and $10,000/month for an 1,100-sq-ft apartment. Two years later we were denied, by seven different schools, the opportunity to spend $58,000/year so my son could play with blocks (Pre-K). Why did we tolerate this? So we could be 7 minutes from Coach, Estée Lauder, and Ralph Lauren, and surrounded by 8.6M people who all decided to reach beyond their grasp.

Since then, we have (conservatively) created 150 high-paying jobs in NYC. By Governor Cuomo’s math, it would be an enormous win for the city to give L2 $18M in subsidies. I was a large shareholder, so I think we should cut out the middleman and have NYC taxpayers send me a check for $9M. The government sending a 54-year-old white guy a check feels unseemly, so we need a stadium or CNBC asking what it means if “New York can’t hold on to small businesses, which create two-thirds of jobs in America” as fabric softener.

Not to worry, Governor, I have a plan.

The cost of building a lighted concrete helipad is only $15,000. Fortunately, NYU faculty housing has a flattop roof. However, we at NYU belong to a union as we’re into that whole “living wage, dignity of work” thing. So let’s assume another $100,000 to install the helipad. A 2016 AIRBUS H130 lists for $3.35M (note: I will offer $3M, as I’m not a greedy millionaire, but an agent of capitalism making the world a better place through innovation). I’d also like Morgan Freeman to be my pilot and Gal Gadot my bodyguard. So call it another $5M, as Morgan’s career is playing the back nine, and I’ll finance that cool indie film with the perfect role Gal dreams of liberating her from a life of superhero movies. This will leave enough Bisquick for me to enjoy a Chipotle burrito bowl with guac every day for the next 195 years.

Or put another way: “Governor Cuomo, where’s my helipad?” I know Andy (Ross Sorkin) and the protectors of capitalism at CNBC feel me.

Birkin Bag

In 2014 my family and I moved from NYC to Florida. There were several reasons, including we couldn’t afford New York. Specifically, we couldn’t afford to live the life we wanted to live in NYC (see above: $58,000/year to play with blocks). And that’s ok. No person or firm has a birthright to live in NYC. It’s expensive here, for a reason. America’s challenge is not to make NYC or San Francisco more affordable, but Detroit and St. Louis more expensive. The greatest density of creativity, capital, and grit ever assembled goes at a premium. The Birkin bag of metros defines the term aspirational as most people and firms don’t get to live/HQ here.

CNBC’s argument, as I understand it, is that it’s still a good thing if Hermès sells a bunch of Birkins for $8,000, instead of $12,000, as they only cost $4,000 to make (they would still make money). There will be the Amazon of all trickle-down effects in the NYC metro … However, great brands led by great operators have one thing in common: they invest vs. discount. The governor and mayor’s job is not to make NYC less expensive, but to make the city worth it.

Invest in infrastructure and quality of life, including addressing the subway and the escalating homeless problem. Detroit needs to discount; Hermès and NYC need to continue to invest. The gangster move here was the leadership demonstrated by Mayor Bloomberg, who brought a third world-class university to Manhattan. Every firm over next several decades that breaches $100B in value will have their HQ within a bike ride of a world-class university. But that’s another post.

The best distillation of why NYC broke up with Amazon was ironically articulated by Jeff Bezos when describing a different sort of blackmail: “If in my position I can’t stand up to this kind of extortion, how many people can?” Maybe the greatest city in the world was inspired by Mr. Bezos’s actions and decided if NYC can’t stand up to Amazon, who can? Initially, NYC will be criticized and judged, but people’s disdain will shift as they start to see NYC as a hero for turning around and kicking our idolatry of innovators in the balls.

Life is so rich,

Comments

15 Comments

  1. John says:

    Sorry I missed your comments until now. The very fact that Bezos tried to position himself as a possible victim of “extortion” shows that he has lost too much perspective. Of course he is performing for you shareholders and why not but the reality is that many other companies would be after similar deals, and for what? Amazon was never going to deliver the promised growth and figures, they were merely going to look after themselves stop I don’t see this in terms of capitalism, socialism or any other ism, but I do think NYC made a sensible financial decision both in the short and long-term.

  2. Walt French says:

    A million thanks for the precisely accurate analysis of Amazon’s auction. Not many businesses can structure negotiations so as to overpower a city of 20 million people who collectively generate a GDP of more than a trillion dollars.

  3. Andrew Bissell says:

    Andrew Ross Sorkin consistently has been penning apologia for subsidy-grabbing billionaires ever since the days of the global financial crisis. It’s long past time to write him off as anything other than an access journalist. https://twitter.com/andrewrsorkin/status/1038147186456977409

  4. Jason says:

    Hey it’s fun to watch you take extreme positions with your perspective. But you do oftenncome across as a Joliet than thou east coast super far left liberal. I see it as quite bad for Democrats to be standing in opposition to business growth. Your whole narrative usually gets a bit carried away. Would you be against the deal if it wasn’t Jeff Bezos and amazon? What if he wasn’t the richest man in the world and the company wasn’t successful? What if it was another fortune 1000 company…would you still be opposed?

    • Jacky says:

      Companies that can’t survive without subsidies should be allowed to die… Fossil fuels for example. Time capitalism got on with the job.

    • Darrell says:

      @Jacky bang on.

  5. John Gibson says:

    If NYC was where Amazon had to be and there were no subsidies they would have ended up in Manhattan like Google. The subsidies were to get Amazon into Long Island City – an area they almost certainly would not have considered otherwise. Ignoring that LIC was to be the location makes the comparison between Amazon and Google irrelevant.

  6. Rod Banner says:

    Well observed. A punchy decision that serves to illustrate how rapidly we are falling out of love with big tech. Have the read The Age of Surveillance Capitalism yet? You must. It gives everyone a glimpse of the metaphorical dick pic. Only nobody seems to know what to do with it.

  7. russ says:

    we’re capitalists…it’s about money…it’s what america is built on….as richard weaver once put it , the problem with the next generation is that is hasn’t read the minutes of the last meeting

  8. Jeff says:

    Dayum, 10k a month for an apt?

  9. Hammid says:

    What you seem to miss is the fact that Amazon still has access to NY residents as customers, regardless of where Amazon put HQ2. NY will see zero economic growth as a result of their antagonistic ways, which seems to be their plan at the moment.

  10. Guy says:

    as soon as the divorce was announced she said “I want the NYC place”…he said “the less I come here the better”, told his team to not fight it so he can look like he cares about his shareholders.

  11. Jarryd says:

    I just knew this was coming and could not agree more. I’ll never understand how seemingly intelligent people have been groomed so well into thinking that Capitalism should involve some form of government subsidy and that those who disagree are somehow Socialists. The HQ2 process was the biggest sham this side of the Fyre festival and NYC should be proud to kick them down the road.

  12. Shann says:

    From choice of the city to incentive requirements, Amazon really fucked up the opportunity to be the good guy for once.

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